Over 80 percent of largest U.S. housing markets improving : Freddie Mac
Freddie Mac has released its Multi-Indicator Market Index® (MiMi®), showing the majority of the top 100 housing markets across the country steadily improving, with one additional state, Georgia, entering its outer historic benchmark range of housing activity.
The national MiMi value stands at 86.4, indicating a housing market that’s on the outer edge of its historic benchmark range of housing activity with a +0.42 percent improvement from September to October and a three-month improvement of +1.86 percent. On a year-over-year basis, the national MiMi value improved +5.88 percent. Since its all-time low in October 2010, the national MiMi has rebounded 46 percent, but remains significantly off its high of 121.7.
-Forty-one of the 50 states plus the District of Columbia have MiMi values within range of their benchmark averages, with Colorado (98.6), Utah (101.5), Hawaii (98), Idaho (97.2) and Oregon at (96.8) ranking in the top five with scores closest to their historical benchmark index levels of 100.
-Seventy-seven of the 100 metro areas have MiMi values within range of their benchmark averages, with Dallas, TX (100.2), Nashville, TN (100.5), Honolulu, HI (100.8), Ogden, UT (100.8), and Los Angeles (99.1), ranking in the top five with scores closest to their historical benchmark index levels of 100.
-The most improving states month over month were Nevada (+1.96%), Connecticut (+1.45%), Arizona (+1.40%), South Carolina (+1.33%) and Washington (+1.31%). On a year-over-year basis, the most improving states were Nevada (+12.87%), Massachusetts (+12.77%), Florida (+11.65%), Mississippi (+11.53%) and Arizona (+10.28%).
-The most improving metro areas month over month were Springfield, MA (+1.96%), Tucson, AZ (+1.87%), Las Vegas, NV (+1.77%), Ogden, UT (+1.51%) and Worcester, MA (+1.48%). On a year-over-year basis, the most improving metro areas were Orlando, FL (+17.45%), Worcester, MA (+16.02%), Chattanooga, TN (+14.78%), Dallas, TX (+14.51%) and Tampa, FL (+14.45%).
-In October, 43 of the 50 states and 82 of the top 100 metros were showing an improving three-month trend. The same time last year, 30 states and 69 of the top 100 metro areas were showing an improving three-month trend.
Quote attributable to Freddie Mac Deputy Chief Economist Len Kiefer:
“The National MiMi stands at 86.4, a 5.88 percent year-over-year increase, but still below its historic benchmark normalized to 100. The purchase applications indicator is up nearly 20 percent from last year and is reflected in the recent better-than-expected existing and new home sales purchase data.
“MiMi does not yet capture the recent jump in mortgage rates since the election, which will drive down homebuyer affordability and likely dampen demand for home sales next year in some markets. While we see strong house price growth in markets like Dallas, Houston, Orlando, Phoenix and others, most are still well below their pre-2008 peak and still have significant room for improvement.”